Free Trade Area of the AmericasVolume 3, Number 6 by Karen Hansen-Kuhn, The Development GAP
Key Points
In April 1998 the leaders of 34 Western Hemisphere countries will gather in Santiago, Chile, for the Second Summit of the Americas. While the Summit agenda includes such broad concerns as education, democracy, and poverty, issues related to economic integration will clearly dominate the meeting. Contrary to the expectations created at the December 1994 Summit of the Americas, the expansion of free-trade agreements throughout the hemisphere has proceeded slowly. At the Miami meeting, President Clinton was poised to fulfill President Bushs dream of a free-trade agreement stretching from Anchorage to Tierra del Fuego. In the summits final declaration, the participating countries promised to create an historic Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) linking all of the hemispheres economies (except Cubas) by the year 2005a goal that seems unlikely given the failure of existing free-trade agreements to generate significant economic benefits. During the first summit, President Clinton lauded those governments that had adopted sound policies to tame inflation, to restore economic growth. Mexico was held out as the model of economic reform and NAFTA as the model trade agreement. Just ten days later, however, the Mexican peso underwent a massive devaluation. That, coupled with the austerity conditions attached to the bailout package financed by the U.S. Treasury and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), sent the Mexican economy into a deep depression and further lowered the purchasing power of Mexican wages and the prices of export goods, contributing in turn to job losses in the United States. The effects of the crisis reverberated well beyond Mexico. Mexicos currency crisis and the current financial crisis in East Asia rocked stock markets around the world, and confidence in the free-trade model of globalization has been shaken. While these continuing economic crises have dampened public and congressional enthusiasm in the U.S. for free-trade agreementsas demonstrated in November 1997 by the Clinton administration having to withdraw its request for fast-track authority to negotiate new agreementsgovernments have continued the process set in motion at the summit. At their March 1998 meeting in San José, Costa Rica, the hemispheres trade ministers agreed to launch the official negotiations for the FTAA on 30 September 1998. They also established nine international negotiating groups, each headed by a different country, to address such topics as market access and investment. The final declaration from the meeting called on the negotiating groups to make considerable progress toward an FTAA by the year 2000. Despite its lack of fast-track authority, the Clinton administration continues to press for a conclusion of the negotiations by the year 2005. While the United States has advocated a series of interim agreements on such issues as government procurement and customs procedures and the U.S. business community has lobbied for a regional agreement on investment to lock in best practices in the hemisphere, other governments and business interests have been very reluctant to enter into any agreements until progress has been made on a number of fronts. The understanding reached in San José follows on the negotiating principle established in the Uruguay Round of the GATTthat nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. Over the past few years, numerous trade and investment agreements have been signed by different countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. In addition to regional pacts, such as NAFTA, Mercosur, the Andean Pact, and the Caribbean Community (Caricom), there are bilateral agreements, such as the one between Chile and Mexico, as well as accords between regional groupings and individual countries. Part of the formidable task of the working groups set up at the Miami Summit was to document and compare exactly what agreements have already been reached in the region. Much of this work has been completed. Even more significant, especially in light of the U.S. preference that governments participate individually in the negotiating process, was an agreement reached in San José that specifies that countries are free to negotiate as blocs. Problems with Current U.S. PolicyKey Problems
In the process of establishing a Free Trade Area of the Americas, it is likely that the Mercosur countries (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay, along with associate members Chile and Bolivia) will negotiate as a group, as will the Andean Pact, while the United States, Canada, and Mexico are expected to negotiate as individual countries. If the non-NAFTA countries in the hemisphere do join together, coordinating their negotiating strategies and building on existing trading blocs, they would have greater leverage in their negotiations with the NAFTA countries than if they were to negotiate as individual countries. By acting in concert through Mercosur and other groups in negotiations with the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) countries, and particularly with the European Union, these countries have enhanced their leverage all the more in negotiations with the United States. Because of their size and economic power, NAFTA and Mercosur will likely serve as the two principal models for agreements reached during the FTAA negotiations. Despite their apparent differencesNAFTA is a trade agreement and Mercosur is a common marketthey are actually rather similar accords, as both entail extensive liberalization of trade and investment regimes. NAFTA establishes a free-trade area, in which barriers to trade in goods produced in the member countries are removed but each country retains the ability to set tariffs on goods from nonmember countries. However, NAFTA is more than a mere trade agreement; it also includes measures to liberalize capital flows, protect intellectual property rights, open new sectors to foreign investment, and facilitate temporary labor mobility of certain classes of businesspeople and professionals. In reality, then, it includes many elements of a common market. While Mercosur is officially termed a common market, it has not fully achieved that status. The Treaty of Asunción, signed by the four member countries on January 1, 1991, immediately eliminated tariffs on 90% of the goods traded within the bloc, and the remaining exceptions are to be phased out by 1999. It also established an average common external tariff of 14% on 85% of the goods imported from nonmembers. But while supplementary decisions and resolutions on a variety of issues are reached by consensus among the members in an ongoing process of negotiation, no decisions have yet been reached on issues such as labor mobility and common labor standards. The lack of provisions on labor mobility and the exceptions to the common external tariff mean that Mercosur falls short of being a true common market. Both NAFTA and Mercosur include measures to deregulate foreign investment. Each provides that foreign investors (with some exceptions) from member countries be treated no differently than local investors. Both agreements also prohibit the application of performance requirements that obligate investors to achieve a certain level of exports or technology transfer. NAFTA goes so far as to prohibit performance requirements on any foreign investments, even those from nonmember countries. These provisions, along with others on public and financial services, have the effect of locking in the structural adjustment programs implemented in the region over the past decade. Thus, both NAFTA and Mercosur have serious negative implications for member countries. If countries cannot regulate foreign investment, for example, they will be unable to implement coordinated industrial or developmental strategies. They will be forced to continue to reduce wages, to allow poor working conditions, and to ignore environmental regulations in increasingly desperate moves to attract mobile international capital. This, in turn, contributes to job and wage losses and economic insecurity in the United States. Evidence of the failure of the NAFTA model of economic integration continues to mount. In the aftermath of the Mexican peso crisis, the International Monetary Fund and the U.S. Treasury insisted that Mexico maintain its commitments under NAFTA by continuing to liberalize trade and investment regimes and by maintaining high interest rates in order to shore up the peso. Higher interest rates, decreased purchasing power of consumers, and increased competition with imported goods have had a devastating impact on small and medium-scale producers and retail businesses. Additionally, some two million Mexicans have lost their jobs, and though such macroeconomic indicators as GDP growth have turned positive in the last few years, the standard of living of most Mexicans has shown little or no improvement. The number of Mexicans pushed into the informal sector and working for less than minimum wage, without benefits, or less than full time has increased dramatically, while the purchasing power of the basic minimum wage has dropped by 24% since NAFTAs inception. In a desperate effort to attract foreign investment, the Mexican government has also initiated legal reforms to relax already poorly enforced environmental regulations. On the U.S. side of the border, official U.S. statistics show that more than 170,000 people have been certified under the NAFTA Trade Adjustment Assistance program as having lost their jobs because of the agreement. The negative impacts of Mercosur on its members are not as evident because many of the trade liberalization measures only began to be phased in last year. But some signs of troubling fallout are already appearing. Union federations in Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay have held massive demonstrations during Mercosur summit meetings to protest growing unemployment. Meanwhile, already financially strapped governments in the region have found themselves competing with each other to offer the greatest tax incentives to investors attracted to the Mercosur market. Toward a New Foreign PolicyKey Recommendations
While Mercosur is not dramatically different from NAFTA, it does offer certain advantages for Latin American countries. The Treaty of Asunción established a process of discussion on a variety of issues related to economic integration. Since its structure is more flexible than NAFTAs, it could eventually include meaningful provisions on labor rights, environmental issues, and other social concerns. There is little evidence that a hemisphere-wide trade agreement based on the NAFTA/Mercosur model would establish a solid foundation for economic relationships that foster sustainable development and economic progress in member countries. The NAFTA experience has demonstrated that the benefits of trade will not automatically trickle down to the population as a whole. Instead, trade agreements must be specifically designed to serve as tools for development that benefits everyone, not just those at the top. A critical first step in achieving a different kind of trade agreement in the Americas is to open the process to a broader representation of different social sectors. The agreement reached at the San José ministerial meeting includes the establishment of an intergovernmental committee to receive input from labor, environmental groups, academics, and businesses during the FTAA negotiations. While this mechanism represents some progress, it does not ensure that civil-society perspectives will be incorporated into the negotiations. Furthermore, an even broader range of civil-society organizations than those designated in the San José accord should be involved in the discussions on hemispheric integration. Whether this committee is significant or simply window dressing will become apparent at the Santiago Summit, when civil-society groups from throughout the Americas will join together to present their concerns and proposals to the governmental delegations. Labor, environmental, and other relevant social issues should be included in the negotiation process. The resulting agreements should affirm such internationally recognized accords as the International Labor Organisation Conventions, the United Nations Convention to Eliminate All Forms of Discrimination Against Women, and the Inter-American Convention on Human Rights. Additionally, any consensus reached on these issues must be included within the text of the trade agreements, not in unenforceable side agreements. The approach to investment policy should also be changed to balance the needs of foreign investors for clear rules with the needs of the national economy. Governments should retain the right to impose performance requirements on foreign investors, as well as the right to protect small and medium-scale producers and other key economic sectors in order to pursue national development plans. Countries rights to maintain food and nutritional security (for example, by excluding basic grains from trade liberalization measures) should also be established. At the Summit of the Americas, President Clinton proclaimed that with the Free Trade Area of the Americas, we can create a partnership for prosperity where freedom and trade and economic opportunity become the common property of the people of the Americas. If this partnership is to include all of the hemispheres peoplesnot just a small, elite, and well-connected group of investorsthen the FTAA process must be fundamentally democratized and reoriented. The future stability of the region depends on it. Sources for more informationWorld Wide WebThe Development GAP Summit of the Peoples of the Americas OrganizationsCommon Frontiers-Action Canada Network The Development GAP (DGAP) Institute for Policy Studies International Labor Rights Fund Red Chile por una Iniciativa de los Pueblos (RECHIP) Red Mexicana de Acción frente al Libre Comercio (RMALC)
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