WTO, Agricultural Deregulation
and Food Security
Volume 4, Number 34
December 1999
Written by Sophia Murphy, Institute for Agricultural and
Trade Policy
Issue Editor: Nancy Alexander (Globalization Challenge Initiative)
Editors: Tom Barry (IRC) and Martha Honey (IPS)
Key Points
- The Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture mentions food security
as a legitimate nontrade concern of agricultural policy,
but the agreement focused exclusively on liberalizing trade in agricultural
products.
- Proponents of the AoA said it would strengthen food security by removing
distortions in agricultural trade.
- Article 20 of the AoA requires that parties evaluate the implementation
experience to inform new negotiations on agriculture, due to begin in
January 2000.
Can deregulated world markets ensure food security for the world? No
negotiator of the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) could honestly
say that this was the first intent of the agreement. Rather, the agreement
focused on how to apply General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
disciplines to trade in agricultural products through curtailing public
expenditures and border protections such as tariffs and import quotas.
Yet, the AoA preamble lists food security as one of the legitimate non-trade
objectives of agriculture policy.
The AoA can be divided into three areas: market access, which deals with
tariff barriers and import quotas; domestic support programs, such as
price support payments to farmers; and export subsidies. In each area,
the agreement lays out rules to dismantle barriers to trade by reducing
tariffs and public expenditures on agriculture. The proponents of the
agreement, including the U.S. and many developing countries, argued that
food security would be enhanced if developed countries stopped stimulating
production through price supports and export subsidies. The market-access
gains afforded Southern nations through reduced Northern tariffs were
also expected to raise developing countries foreign exchange earnings,
enabling them to buy what food they needed from world markets.
Food security depends on an adequate supply, distribution, and access
to culturally appropriate food for every individual. It depends on intricate
social, cultural, economic, and political relationships that differ enormously
from place to place and over time. Few would deny that international trade
plays a part in this process, but food security varies from country to
country. For example, though most developing countries expected to gain
from the AoA, negotiators acknowledged when they signed the Uruguay Round
agreements in Marrakesh in 1994 that poor net food-importing countries
could be harmed by the reduced availability of subsidized food in the
world market. As a result, they added the Marrakesh Ministerial Decision
on Measures Concerning the Possible Negative Effects of the Reform Program
on Least-Developed and Net Food-Importing Developing Countries. This decision
promised these countries financial assistance both to ensure that adequate
food imports could be maintained and to improve their agricultural productivity
and infrastructure.
The AoA makes concessions to developing and least-developed countries
(LDCs) special needs, including a longer implementation period (ten rather
than six years) and lower reduction commitments for programs that support
agricultural production and trade.
The principle of special and differential (S&D) treatment was used
to provide developing countries with these more favorable terms. LDCs
are exempt from tariff reductions (although they must bind them to a maximum
level) and cuts to domestic support programs (although they are subject
to a spending ceiling). LDCs are also exempt from export subsidy reduction
requirements.
In Article 20 of the agreement, governments committed to a review of
the implementation of the AoA to inform new negotiations. The framework
for these negotiations is to be decided at the 3rd World Trade Organization
(WTO) Ministerial Conference in Seattle in December. The U.S. wants to
reduce tariff barriers, eliminate and prohibit export subsidies, discipline
the market interventions of state trading enterprises (government marketing
boards controlling price and supply of agricultural products), and ensure
that trade in biotechnology products is not hampered by unscientific
restrictions. The draft framework includes no specific mention of food
security concerns, even for LDCs.
The U.S. has obligations to ensure that trade rules do not undermine
food security. Not only is this objective mentioned in both the preamble
and Article 20 of the AoA, but the U.S. has also made other international
commitments to ensuring that trade policy supports food security. For
example, at the World Food Summit in 1996, two years after the Uruguay
Round agreements were signed, governments agreed, we will strive
to ensure that food, agricultural trade and overall trade policies are
conducive to fostering food security for all through a fair and market-oriented
world trade system.
By reviewing trends in domestic production levels, export revenues, import
costs, and world prices of staple crops, it is possible to measure the
impact of trade liberalization on countries abilities to both produce
and buy the food they need. These macro indicators provide important (albeit
incomplete) reference points for an evaluation of the impact of the AoA
on food security.
Problems with Current U.S. Policy
Key Problems
- The AoA prescribes a model for agriculture that is not flexible enough
to protect food security.
- The AoA is tilted in the interests of developed rather than developing
countries.
- The U.S. negotiating position for the agriculture talks addresses
neither the food security needs of developing countries nor the lack
of equity in the AoAs framework.
The AoA prescribes a model for agriculture that has basically only one
dimension: increasing agricultural production for exports, importing what
cannot be produced without tariff protection or subsidies to producers.
This model is imperfectly articulated and includes various exceptions
that have proved of more use to developed than developing countries.
In fact, it has been widely noted that the AoA seems to have more S&D
provisions for rich countries than for poor. The AoA includes several
boxes that disproportionately benefit developed countries.
Boxes are categories of exemptions from the AoAs reduction rules
in order to meet particular social or environmental objectives. The green
box (Annex 2) contains policies that affect both developed and developing
countries, but it primarily lists spending exemptions, thereby excluding
countries that do not have revenue to invest in agriculture. The blue
box (Article 6.5) exempts deficiency payments to farmers based on
their acreage or quantity of livestock. This was entirely for the benefit
of the U.S., which has since discontinued such programs, and the European
Union, which remains heavily dependent on these measures in the implementation
of its agriculture policy.
In the U.S., 1996 domestic farm legislation shifted the basis for making
payments to grain farmers from the types and quantities of crops produced
to so-called decoupled payments. This was expected to break
the production enhancing element of government support. In practice, however,
farmers have increased production in response to both high and low world
prices, against the expectations of trade theorists. The new payments
remain as a subsidy to agriculture, without the benefit of controlling
production levels.
In contrast, the S&D provisions for developing countriese.g.,
longer implementation periodshave failed to offer the flexibility
they need to address their food security needs. Many countries submitted
their tariff schedules and estimates of domestic support without sufficient
care. In so doing, they have lost the flexibility to build in trade-offs
between tariff levels on specific products and to ensure that sensitive
areas continue to receive support (for example, subsidies to encourage
yield increases in food deficit areas). Many developing countries register
a negative balance of support to their farmers because local prices are
less than world market prices.
Analysis from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) shows that,
despite record low prices over the last three years, poor developing countries
food bills have increased by an average of 20% since 1994, the year the
AoA was signed. At the same time, worldwide commodity prices are setting
new lows, damaging countries abilities to pay for imports by reducing
their capacities to earn foreign exchange. Output levels even within specific
countries have fluctuated during the implementation period, but many developing
countries remain locked into a trend of growing dependency on food imports
while their revenues from commodity exports decline.
In practice, the Marrakesh Ministerial Decision on food security has
been useless. In a year of record high prices (1996), with cereal prices
up 40% over the previous year, the WTO Committee on Agriculture took the
advice of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and refused to implement
the Marrakesh Decision. The IMF argued that the price spike could not
be directly attributed to the AoA and that therefore members were not
responsible for implementing the decision.
In concurring with this argument, the powerful members of the WTO reneged
on their commitment to assist poorer countries that faced difficulties
under the new trade rules.
The U.S. negotiating positions, submitted in July 1999 to the WTO Committee
in preparation for the 3rd Ministerial Conference, do not reflect a concern
for developing countries food security. Only one mention is made
of LDCsin relation to improving market access, which ignores World
Bank and UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) analyses that
supply constraints are the biggest barrier to improving poor countries
export performance. Market access has hardly changed with the implementation
of the AoA, and developing countries share of world agriculture
markets has remained static.
The U.S. position ignores the provision for an assessment of the implementation
experience to date, outlined in Article 20 of the AoA. Instead, the U.S.
proposals echo the structure of the existing agreement, with no acknowledgement
that developing countries face serious implementation problems.
Toward a New Foreign Policy
Key Recommendations
- The integrity of the global trading system depends on improved policy
coherence and creating new institutions to ensure that developing countries
can participate fully.
- Trade rules need to be specifically designed to give developing countries
flexibility in deciding their agriculture and trade policies.
- The new negotiations on agriculture need to address the dumping of
food from developed countries (including the U.S.), which unfairly competes
with developing country producers.
Multilateral organizations need to be more responsive to the food security
concerns of developing countries. To ensure that this happens, U.S. officials
and policymakers should support the following two initiatives:
First, there needs to be consistency among U.S. policies in various
multilateral organizations to ensure that trade policy does not undermine
commitments to protect food security, eradicate poverty, and protect the
environment. Food security is a clear example of an objective that requires
inter-sectoral cooperation. The WTO needs to work with other multilateral
institutions experienced in specific dimensions of the nontrade concerns
that touch the WTOs work. The cooperation exhibited by the IMF,
the International Trade Commission, the UNCTAD, the UN Development Program,
and the World Bank at the 1997 High Level Meeting on LDCs provides a useful
model. Such collaboration requires resources and a commitment from governments
to integrate trade policy into other areas of international development
planning.
Second, the U.S. government should fund (and otherwise support) capacity-building
to strengthen the participation of poor members of the WTO. Many member
countries of the WTO cannot afford an office in Geneva, let alone enough
staff to attend all the meetings that occur (often three or more simultaneously).
There has been an increase in the training and other assistance offered
to developing country officials since 1994, but the problem remains serious.
The proposal to create a legal office in Geneva to service developing
countries disputes at little or no cost exemplifies the kind of
innovations needed to make the system more balanced.
More specifically with respect to the AoA and its implementation, there
are two chief recommendations:
The first is to create a food security box within the agreement,
either as a stand-alone item or as a series of amendments to the existing
AoA articles. Using the principle of the blue box, the food
security box would list policies that are protected from the requirement
of distorting trade as little as possible whenever these policies meet
important social objectives. The food security box would aim to ensure
that developing countries have the flexibility to support domestic agricultural
production and food security. Tariffs and other kinds of taxes, for example,
could be allowed as a way to protect domestic agriculture without incurring
new expenditures. Policies to protect poor consumers from the sudden price
swings of international commodity markets and to ensure the availability
of staple crops not generally traded internationally (white maize, sorghum,
and others) could also be considered. The box would be for developing
countries only.
Related to this, special measures are necessary to address the needs
of net food-importing developing countries. A price trigger should be
established that automatically releases resources to buy food in the world
market when prices are high and exceed poor countries abilities
to pay. This would bypass any discussion of what caused the price increase
and would move straight to resolving what has been accepted as an undesirable
outcome. The price trigger should not be set at less than the cost-of-production
prices.
Second, antidumping policies specific to agriculture should be considered.
The U.S. should look at the discrepancy between cost-of-production prices
and world market prices and should determine (with other WTO members)
how to curb the persistence of extremely low prices for agricultural commodities
in world markets. U.S. farmgate prices for many crops are consistently
less than many countries cost of production, and producers all over
the world find themselves in competition with these prices as border protections
are removed.
With increasing vertical integration in the food and agriculture sector
at the U.S. and global level, the scope for distorted world prices has
remained unchanged, if not worsened, since 1994. The consolidation of
U.S.-based multinational companies in the food sector has been justified
to (and by) the Justice Department on the grounds that international competition
demands a relaxation of antitrust laws at home. Ironically, few companies
anywhere in the world are able to compete with U.S.-based grain multinationals
such as ADM and Cargill. The structure of international food markets requires
international examination, monitoring, and regulation.
The lack of rules in agricultural trade that preceded the AoA contributed
directly to food insecurity in the world. The right rules could make a
difference. However, those who face persistent hunger in the world do
not have the money to exercise effective demand in a free
market. The trend toward increased trade in processed food, a demand made
by relatively wealthy consumers in mostly urban areas, is indicative of
this problem. While in some regions this is indicates a real decrease
in the number of people living in hunger (they can afford to spend more
on food), in many others, it reflects the (normal) preference of food
merchants for rich over poor consumers. Public action is essential to
redress these problems.
Nobody needs to go hungryeach person that does is the victim of
conscious policy choices and policy failures. The U.S.richest country
in the world, home to the largest grain traders in the world, and producer
of enormous agricultural surplusesis failing to play a leadership
role. We all have a responsibility to ensure that U.S. policy helps end
rather than increase world hunger.
Sources for More Information
Organizations
Action Aid
Hamlyn House
McDonald Rd.
Archway
London N19 5PG
UK
Voice: +44-20-7561-7561
Fax: +44-20-7281-0899
Website: http://www.actionaid.org
Catholic Institute for International
Relations/CIIR
Unit 3, Canonbury Yard
190a New North Rd.
Islington, London
UK N1 7BJ
Voice: + 44-171-354-0883
Fax: + 44-171-359-0017
Email: svarma@ciir.org
http://www.ciir.org
Focus on the Global South
c/o CUSRI, Wisit Prachuabmoh Bldg.
Chulalongkorn University
Phyathai Rd.
Bangkok
Thailand 10330
Voice: +66-2-218-7363
Fax: +66-2-255-9976
Email: focus@ksc.th.com
Website: http://www.focusweb.org
Food First/Institute for Food and
Development Policy
398 60th St.
Oakland, CA 94618
Voice: (510) 654-4400, ext. 108
Fax: (510) 654-4551
Email: foodfirst@foodfirst.org
Website: http://www.foodfirst.org
Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy/IATP
2105 First Ave. South
Minneapolis, MN 55404
Voice: (612) 870-0453
Fax: (612) 870-4846
Email: iatp@iatp.org
Website: http://www.iatp.org
International Partners for Sustainable Agriculture
2100 L St. NW
Washington, DC 20037
Voice: (202) 778-6119
Fax: (202) 778-6134
Public Citizen
215 Pennsylvania Ave. SE
Washington, DC 20003
Voice: (202) 454-5106
Fax: (202) 547-7392
Website: http://www.tradewatch.org
Solagral (Paris)
45 bis Ave. de la Belle Gabrielle
94736 Nogent sur Marne
Paris
France 75018
Voice: +33-1 43-94-73-33
Fax: +33-1 43-94-73-36
Email: solagral@solagral.assoc.fr
Website: http://www.rio.net/solagral/
World Wide Web
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)
http://www.fao.org/
World Trade Organization (WTO)
http://www.wto.org/
Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy (IATP)
http://www.iatp.org/
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
http://www.usda.gov/
United States Trade Representative (USTR)
http://www.ustr.gov/
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