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The Future of Western Sahara

Stephen Zunes | July 20, 2007

Editor: John Feffer

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Morocco’s ongoing refusal to allow for the long-planned UN-sponsored referendum on the fate of Western Sahara to move forward, combined with a growing nonviolent resistance campaign in the occupied territory against Moroccan occupation authorities, has led Morocco to propose granting the former Spanish colony special autonomous status within the kingdom.

The kingdom of Morocco, generously supplied with American-made weapons, invaded the largely desert nation – then known as Spanish Sahara – more than three decades ago. It has controlled much of the territory ever since. More then 75 nations have recognized the government-in-exile of Western Sahara, led by the nationalist Polisario Front, and it is a full member state of the African Union.

A series of resolutions by the UN Security Council and the UN General Assembly, as well as a landmark 1975 advisory ruling by the International Court of Justice, have recognized the right of self-determination by the people of Western Sahara. However, France and the United States have blocked the Security Council from enforcing its resolutions. Both countries have perceived a need to strengthen the Moroccan monarchy as a bulwark against Communism and radical Arab nationalism during the Cold War and, in more recent years, as an important ally in the struggle against Islamist extremism.

The ongoing conflict between Morocco and the Western Sahara nationalists, led by the Polisario Front, has resulted in enormous suffering by the Western Saharan people, over half of whom live in refugee camps in neighboring Algeria. It has seriously crippled efforts to advance badly needed economic and strategic cooperation between the states of the Maghreb region facing challenges from struggling economies and rising Islamist militancy.

The Bush administration and a bipartisan group of congressional leaders have enthusiastically supported the Moroccan autonomy plan as a means of ending the conflict. But Morocco’s plan for autonomy falls well short of what is necessary to bring about a peaceful resolution to the conflict. It also poses a dangerous precedent that threatens the very foundation of the post-World War II international legal system.

Morocco’s “Autonomy” Plan

The autonomy plan is based on the assumption that Western Sahara is part of Morocco, a contention that the United Nations, the World Court, the African Union, and a broad consensus of international legal opinion have long rejected. To accept Morocco’s autonomy plan would mean that, for the first time since the founding of the UN and the ratification of the UN Charter more the 60 years ago, the international community would be endorsing the expansion of a country’s territory by military force, thereby establishing a very dangerous and destabilizing precedent.

If the people of Western Sahara accepted an autonomy agreement over independence as a result of a free and fair referendum, it would constitute a legitimate act of self-determination. However, Morocco has explicitly stated that its autonomy proposal “rules out, by definition, the possibility for the independence option to be submitted” to the people of Western Sahara, the vast majority of whom – according to knowledgeable international observers – favor outright independence.

International law aside, there are a number of practical concerns regarding the Moroccan proposal. For instance, centralized autocratic states have rarely respected the autonomy of regional jurisdictions, which has often led to violent conflict. In 1952, the UN granted the British protectorate (and former Italian colony) of Eritrea autonomous status federated with Ethiopia. In 1961, however, the Ethiopian emperor revoked Eritrea’s autonomous status, annexing it as his empire’s 14th province. The result was a bloody 30-year struggle for independence and subsequent border wars between the two the countries. Similarly, the decision of Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic to revoke the autonomous status of Kosovo in 1989 led to a decade of repression and resistance, culminating in the NATO war against Yugoslavia in 1999.

Moreover, there are no enforcement mechanisms included in the proposal, and Morocco has a history of breaking its promises to the international community regarding the UN-mandated referendum for Western Sahara and related obligations based on the ceasefire agreement 16 years ago. Indeed, a close reading of the proposal raises questions as to how much autonomy is even being offered initially, such as control of Western Sahara’s natural resources and law enforcement (beyond local matters). In addition, the proposal appears to indicate that all powers not specifically vested in the autonomous region would remain with the kingdom. Indeed, since the king of Morocco is ultimately invested with absolute authority under Article 19 of the Moroccan constitution, the autonomy proposal’s insistence that the Moroccan state “will keep its powers in the royal domains, especially with respect to defense, external relations and the constitutional and religious prerogatives of His Majesty the King” appears to give the monarch considerable latitude in interpretation.

In any case, the people of Western Sahara will not likely accept autonomy rather than independence. For years, they have engaged in pro-independence protests only to be subjected to mass arrests, beatings, torture, and extra-judicial killings. There is little reason to expect that the Moroccan authorities would change their ways under “autonomy.”

U.S. Defends the Moroccan Proposal

Despite all these serious problems with the Moroccan proposal, both the Bush administration and congressional leaders of both parties have rushed to try to legitimize what amounts to an illegal annexation of one country by another. U.S. Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Nicolas Burns called it “a serious and credible proposal to provide real autonomy for the Western Sahara,” a point underscored before the House International Relations Committee by assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs David Welch. Although the well-organized refugee camps are largely demilitarized and, even during the 16 years of armed struggle against Morocco, the Polisario never engaged in acts of terrorism, Welch warned in the course of his testimony that the camps present “a potentially attractive safe haven for terrorist planning or activity.”

Congressional leaders of both parties appear to be allying themselves with administration hard-liners. Congressman Tom Lantos of California, whom the Democrats have chosen to chair the House International Relations Committee, referred to the Moroccan proposal as “reasonable and realistic” and called on the Polisario to accept it. He was joined by 172 other members of the House, who signed a letter declaring it “a breakthrough opportunity” and a “realistic framework for a political solution.” Given the widespread opposition in the international community to legitimizing Morocco’s act of aggression, the letter concludes by urging President Bush to “embrace this promising Moroccan initiative so that it receives the consideration necessary to achieve international acceptance.”

The letter was drafted and circulated by Congressman Gary Ackerman of New York, whom the Democrats have chosen to chairman of the House Subcommittee on the Middle East. Other Democratic leaders joining their foreign policy leadership in supporting Morocco’s right of conquest included Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and Democratic Caucus Chair Rahm Emanuel. Prominent Republicans signing the letter included Minority Leader John Boehner, House Republican Whip Roy Blunt, and former House Speaker Dennis Hastert. Indeed, more than 80 of the signers are either committee chairmen or ranking members of key committees, subcommittees and elected leadership of the U.S. House of Representatives, yet another indication in this post-Cold War era of a growing bipartisan effort to undermine the longstanding principle of the right of self-determination.

Former Clinton administration officials have also weighed in to support the contention that the people of Western Sahara should give up on their widely acknowledged claim to independence and instead accept the suzerainty of the autocratic Moroccan monarchy. Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, in an open letter to President Bush, also encouraged him to back the Moroccan plan, which she claimed gave “the people of the Western Sahara a true voice in their future through the full benefits of autonomy as presented by Morocco, a credible political solution can be achieved.” The letter was signed by a host of other prominent Democrats.

Distorting the Facts

Prominent Democrats have joined the Bush administration in distorting the facts of the conflict. For example, UN monitors report that the Polisario has scrupulously honored its 1991 ceasefire agreement with Morocco despite the Moroccans’ refusal to honor their reciprocal commitment to allow the holding a referendum on independence to take place. Nevertheless, Lantos has insisted that “peace has been summarily rejected by the rebel Polisario Front in favor of . . .guerrilla ambushes.” The House Democrats’ chief foreign policy spokesman also blames the Polisario for forcing most of the Western Saharan population to live in “arid refugee camps,” ignoring that they are living in these camps as a direct result of Moroccan repression.

Despite well-documented reports by Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, and other reputable human rights groups monitoring the situation in the occupied territory that public expressions in support for self-determination are routinely suppressed, Lantos has also expressed his confidence that “Morocco will do nothing to stifle debate among the people of Western Sahara.”

In a prominent op-ed column in The New York Times this past March backing Morocco’s autonomy plan, President Bill Clinton’s ambassador to Morocco Frederick Vreeland falsely claimed that the Polisario Front, which has led Western Sahara’s independence movement since the territory was under Spanish control, was a creation of Algeria in order to advance its own irredentist claims. In reality, the Polisario grew out of earlier anti-colonial movements that long pre-dated the establishment of the independent Algerian state and only began receiving substantial Algerian assistance after the Moroccan conquest in 1975.

Vreeland also claimed that the Polisario-administered refugee camps in Algeria are potential recruiting grounds for al-Qaeda and other Islamic extremists. In reality, the Polisario Front is a secular nationalist organization, the Western Saharans tend to observe a relatively liberal interpretation of Islam, and the Algerian government – which has only recently emerged from a hard-fought war against Islamist insurgents – would certainly crack down decisively at even a hint of such extremist activities within its territory. Indeed, there have been no credible reports of any radical Islamist activities by the many hundreds of UN officials, scholars and relief workers – including those from U.S. evangelical Christian groups – who have spent time in the camps.

Nor would an independent Western Sahara, endowed with generous natural resources and governed by the Polisario Front’s increasingly pro-Western leadership, constitute “a weak independent state” that “would likely morph into a terrorist-controlled one” as Ambassador Vreeland ominously predicted in his article.

Interestingly, The New York Times refused to run any of the op-eds submitted in subsequent weeks by a number of reputable North African scholars refuting Vreeland’s claims or raising objections about Morocco’s autonomy plan. Nor did the newspaper of record bother to mention that Ambassador Vreeland now serves as chairman of an energy company with contracts with the Moroccan government to develop energy resources in occupied Western Sahara.

Other former officials have had to be more open about their affiliations. Former Connecticut Congressman Toby Moffet, who has lobbied his fellow Democrats to back the Moroccan plan by raising the specter of a growing al-Qaeda threat in North Africa if it’s not accepted, has had to register as an agent of a foreign government for his services on behalf of the Moroccan monarchy. On the Republican side, former Florida Republican Party chairman Alberto Cardenas, who co-chaired 2004 re-election campaign, in that state, has also been hired by the Moroccans.

Implications of U.S. Support

Support for Morocco’s autonomy plan for Western Sahara is indicative of a growing bipartisan rejection of the international legal norms that have governed international relations since the end of the Second World War. At that time, when the victorious allies agreed to never again allow invading armies to conquer other peoples without a collective response. While some have tried to blame the bipartisan congressional support for Israel’s efforts to annex East Jerusalem, the Golan Heights, and parts of the West Bank as a consequence of the alleged power of “the Jewish Lobby,” the strong bipartisan Congressional support for the annexation of Western Sahara by the Arab kingdom of Morocco demonstrates that members of Congress are nowadays quite willing to support the illegal conquests by U.S. allies of their weaker neighbors even without pressure from a well-organized ethnic minority.

Ironically, the majority of House members who were in Congress in 1991 and have gone on record seeking to legitimize Morocco’s aggression against Western Sahara voted to authorize the Gulf War on the grounds that Iraq’s aggression against Kuwait was so egregious that it justified a massive military response.

Most supporters of Morocco’s autonomy plan deny that they are legitimizing aggression. They argue that some sort of compromise, or “third way” between Western Saharan independence and integration with Morocco, is necessary to resolve the conflict and that a “winner take all” approach is unworkable. Encouraging such compromise and trying to find a win/win situation is certainly the preferable way to pursue a lasting peaceful settlement regarding most ethnic conflicts and many international disputes. However, Western Sahara is a clear-cut case of self-determination for a people struggling against foreign military occupation. The Polisario Front has already offered guarantees to protect Moroccan strategic and economic interests if allowed full independence. To insist that the people of Western Sahara must give up their moral and legal right to genuine self-determination, then, is not a recipe for conflict resolution, but for far more serious conflict in the future.

The irresolution to the conflict is not a result of the Polisario’s unwillingness to compromise. Rather, it represents the failure of the UN Security Council – as a result of the French and American veto threats – to place the Western Sahara issue under Chapter VII of the UN Charter. Such an action would give the international community the power to impose sanctions or whatever appropriate leverage is required to force the Moroccan regime to abide by the UN mandates it has up until now been able to disregard thanks to its friends in Paris and Washington.

In the comparable case of East Timor, only after human rights organizations, church groups, and other activists forced the U.S. government to end its support for Indonesia’s occupation did the Jakarta regime finally offer a referendum that gave the East Timorese their right to self-determination. It may take similar grassroots campaigns to ensure that the United States lives up to its international legal obligations and pressures Morocco to allow the people of Western Sahara to determine their own destiny.

Stephen Zunes (www.stephenzunes.org) is a professor of politics at the University of San Francisco and the Middle East editor for Foreign Policy in Focus. He is the author of Tinderbox: U.S. Middle East Policy and the Roots of Terrorism (Common Courage Press, 2003) and the forthcoming book, co-authored by Jacob Mundy, Western Sahara: Nationalist and Conflict Irresolution in Northwest Africa (Syracuse University Press.)

 

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Published by Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF), a project of the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS, online at www.ips-dc.org). Copyright © 2008, Institute for Policy Studies.

Recommended citation:
Stephen Zunes, "The Future of Western Sahara," (Washington, DC: Foreign Policy In Focus, July 20, 2007).

Web location:
http://fpif.org/fpiftxt/4410

Production Information:
Author(s): Stephen Zunes
Editor(s): John Feffer
Production: John Feffer

Latest Comments & Conversation Area
Editor's Note: FPIF.org editors read and approve each comment. Comments are checked for content only; spelling and grammar errors are not corrected and comments that include vulgar language or libelous content are rejected.
 
Name MARK AMEH AGBARA Date: Jul 21, 2007
The US and France policy on Western Sahara denotes injustice and unfairness to the indegenous Saharawis. It is also a disregard of the UN declarations on Human Rights as well as past UN resolutions on the conflict which recognise the right to self-determination of the people of the region. Apparently, such injustice are the root causes of terrorism and that is why terrorism focuses on governments that are not objective in their international relations.
Name j carr Date: Jul 23, 2007
I think that analysis is spot on. Morocco does have a claim, but are they fit to keep it. Morocco is like a dog with a bone it won’t relinquish, thinking it has a future UAE of the West Africa in its teeth. Saying it is controlling the terrorist threat, while her own puppies are pulling her tail. Morocco boasts of its relations with the US and France, and when it suits will play one off against the other, or if that fails, play with any other power it can tempt. The country is full of temptations; however Morocco really delivers on those promises, usually selling short. So if there was the will to reach a settlement, you would expect the building blocks of peace and democracy being placed, that Moroccan security would be easing off, allow some freedom of assembly and expression, a bit of self determination, stop the torture and release non-violent prisoners? But on the ground the opposite seems to be happening and the occupier remains very much in control. Actions speak louder than words, and Morocco’s autonomy plan, seems nothing more than another pile of words. But Morocco can afford to wait, she still has her bone.
Name Abdel Date: Aug 05, 2007
Truly Morocco is not capable of managing it's own business. How can it be to manage somebody else territories when you have corruption and poverty rocking the country itself? The Western Sahara people know about very well...so they do not see any benefit from the abuse already are getting from the military and the security agents of morocco. Honestly I am from morocco I do not like what I see and I would love to see the people of the western sahara happy, free, and living in an independent state...May God have mercy on them....
Name ayoub7 Date: Aug 05, 2007
Well, I am sorry to say that this "analysis" is totally biased and does not raise many questions about Polisario that are well documented such as the slavery that is ongoing in the Tindouf camps (yes slavery...), here is a long insight as to what kind of artificial "Sahraoui democratic arab republic" Algeria and the Polisario front would like to create for 200.000 people:

http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&ct=res&cd=1&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.esisc.org%
2FTHE%2520POLISARIO%2520FRONT.pdf&ei=m3-
2RpqBN528iAGa8unsAQ&usg=AFQjCNEEYf32ABHl88k4mssC8nNC2-xUcg&sig2=-
F4HiPwGl-oONgvATNdaEQ

There are other reports made by other very reputable and non-bias organizations like France Libertes. They speak for themselves.

The sahara problem is inherited from the Cold war when Algeria was a Russian ally, when the polisario was trained by cuban intelligence and when Morocco was (and still is) a US ally.

Name abdel Date: Aug 06, 2007
Sorry i do not see that the Western Sahara was occupied by Spain and that has nothing to do with Russia nor Cuba you are trying to make believe that you're friend with US and that does not justify the word that you copied from your late speach of your king as "artificial" people of western Sahara were long battling their freedom and before you were born yet...wassalam long live to a free Western Sahara..
Name SLIMANI of Morocco Date: Aug 30, 2007
Mr Zunes, you could not have been more biased than you were in your article; you could not have been more partial and prejudiced against Morocco than the Algerian military generals nor the Polisario itself, the latter as you may well know, happen to be at the payroll of the Algerian military intelligence.

Why on earth is it that Morocco's offer of self-determination through a negotiated settlement of autonomy is not good enough for you as a possible solution to put an end to a problem once and for all? Why does the autonomy offer not constitute a fair solution to a problem that has lasted for more than three decades now? Or does Mr Zunes want to offer his condescending lessons about an area he does not, unfortunately, seem to know much about, and tends only to parrot the tedious Algerian propaganda that he seems to have blindly swallowed?

Or else why does he just insist on repeating that the UN or the former OAU passed this and tht resolution that stipulate self-determination, as though such resolutions were God-given and are unassailable!! If this UN you are talking about should have any credibility, why on earth has it allowed a country like Iraq to be ravaged by your own country the USA (the champion of the UN or is it not?)

Why on earth has this very UN (an organisation as good as the superpowers that make use of it to self-serve their interests) allowed a nation like Palestine (people and country) to be occupied and Zionised and its population still being daily hammered by the Israeli fire-power; and the process has been going on for over six decades now, with no solution in sight?

Talking of OAU resoultions sounds like a joke. With due respect to some African leaders, (very few indeed), we know how such resolutions were passed by the African leaders, whom everyone knows are most often corrupt and corrupting.

Besides, have you ever considered, Mr Zunes, you the apparently expert in international conflicts, that a resoultion of a problem through a win-win solution (such as the current Morocco's autonomy offer) is something that should be both appreciated and encouraged, instead of fanning the fire of hatred between Moroccans in the north and their brethren in the South? Have you ever attempted any field-work research to come to this simple truth: that there is in fact nothing that would distinguish Moroccans from Sharaouis, and consequently should justify the creation of an independent entity in the south of Morocco because, on the one hand such an microscopic entity (at best 150.000 inhabitants) would fall an easy prey in the hands of the Algerian generals in the al-Muradia palace in Algiers; Mr Zunes investors would like to have profit for their investment, would they not?

Secondly don't you think that the plight of the population in the Sahara would be much better off staying under a Morocco that is both stable and currently engaged in democratising itself? As the Morocco of 2007 has nothing to do with the Morocco prior to 1999!! If in doubt, Mr Zunes, please come and find out for youself. My discourse is by no means dictated by chauvinistic considerations, far from it. I just wanted to make things straight and hopefully clear.

Last but not least, if you are really concerned about the fate of those Saharaoui victims sequestrated against their will, indeed the victims of a bygone Cold War, in the desert of Tindouf, inside the Algerian territory, my modest advice is that you should try to be a little bit more even-handed and fairer in handling a thorny problem such as the Sahara issue!! In a nutshell, try to be positive, try to light a candle instead of cursing the darkness!

Name Waleed BenMohsine Date: Sep 02, 2007
It seems logical that Polisario movement had all the reasons to reject this plan. Polisario had already been declared as a sovereign State (the Saharawi Arab Democratic Republic) which is a full member of the African Union and recognized by more than 82 sovereign countries. In addition, Polisario is backed by the people of Western Sahara. It might also be beneficial to add that the UN, in 1965, had already agreed to a right of self-determination for the people of Western Sahara. There is a line of thought that pin-point that, perhaps, the definition of the word "self-determination" is being played around. Security Council has coined the term. Where on one hand Polisario (and the international law) view self-determination as a right of the people to decide their own political status, Morocco understands that the term/right lies within their Autonomy Plan.

As we near the conclusion, let us reiterate that we as sahraouis lived through and we are still surviving through this conflict. It is our sincere belief that this mysterious road will be opened only when the UN and all concerned parties truly understand the basic fact which implements that the sovereignty over the region of Western Sahara is neither the property of Morocco nor the property of Algeria. It is the earnest right of the Saharawi people. They must be given the right to decide what they want in free, fair, and democratic referendum.

Furthermore, given the fact that Morocco has no sovereignty over the region and the conflict is considered an issue of decolonization under the international law since 1965, the international community should fulfil its commitment of promoting peace, justice, and respect of human rights in Western Sahara. Otherwise, we are going to face the very gloomy reality that no one wishes to happen. The breaking out of war again between the two conflicting parties: Polisario Front and Morocco.

P.S.: also if I may we may be Arabs/berbers/Muslims but one thing for sure we have nothing to be compared to Moroccans...We are Sahraouis and we do not wish to be Moroccans.

Name Hourria Brahim Date: Sep 05, 2007
The Moroccan regime has signed a Peace Agreement in 1991, that is why there is a United Nation Mission in Western Sahara (MINURSO) for holding a free and fair REFERENDUM for the people of WESTERN SAHARA (not the Moroccan people) if they want to become independent or part of that kingdom. The Moroccans say that the Saharawis are moroccans. If they are so sure that this people is moroccan, why does the moroccan regime refuse to implements all the agreements thay they have signed. There is no doubt about what the Saharawi People want to become. More than thirty years of struggle shows that this peaceful and hospitable people want to live free and independent as any people of the world.
Name Abdel Date: Sep 06, 2007
Because they know they are hypocrite and thieves the moroccan regime and it's stupide king wants that peace of land regardless as long as the US government is with them so does the sionist dirty regime of israel as well that provides them with arms...but still Sahraouis are Sahraouis but not moroccans...
Name Luis Portillo Date: Sep 19, 2007
Excelent essay!!! It tells the historical truth. We need lots of people like professor STEPHEN ZUNES in the USA. You should spread this article among the people in the USA and all over the world. Thank you for your work.
Luis Portillo (SPAIN).
Name yadahlou Date: Oct 16, 2007
Excelent article, i found it very interesting. The only solution of the Western Sahara issue is through the democratic way the ballot-boxes, that the people of Western Sahara choose whether to be a part of Morocco, to get an autonomy, which is the same of the first option or to get their endependence. As the UN has been demanding since 1965. The endependence of Western Sahara has no threat to Morocco nor the interests of the other powers. It will haste the wheel of development in the Maghreb. The Danger is coming from inside Morocco, and all of us know that Morocco can not manage its business, how can it manage the business of others who are not and do not like to be Moroccans. The card of Islamic extrimism threat "in Western Sahara" played by Morocco, is a false game its objectives is to get the sympathy of the infeluenced capitals to get their support for its Autonomy plan to annex Western Sahara illegaly to its kingdom. Morocco exports terrorism, drugs and many other bad things. The best support that Morocco must have from the big powers is to be obliged to do the referendum. The peaceful way of struggle that the Saharawis to get their endependence must not be ignored, the experience of the Saharawi Experince in adminestering a state in exile, premoting democracy, giving more rights to women than any other islamic country, must not be ignored either. It is time for the big powers to understand the realities, and to help the peoples not the dictators and the corrupt regimes for a better world for all of us. I would thank you once more for your brilliant article.
Name yadahlou Date: Oct 22, 2007
The article is good article on the facts of Western Sahara. I would like to thank the auther for his excellent article. Western Sahara was scape-goat sucrificed on 1975 beacuse of the cold war, now Morocco want to repeat the same play in the name of "the threat of Islamic Extrimism" and the illegal immigration. Western Sahara is a question of decolonization and must has its solution through the UN respecting the self-determination referendum. The independence of Western Sahara will foster the stability and development in the Arab Maghreb. Unless Western Sahara issue is not solved there will be always great problem for the development in the Arab Maghreb.
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