Recent and ongoing developments in Burma call for parallel editing—the filmmaking technique of
running two scenes concurrently to suggest that they are happening at the same time while ratcheting
up suspense.
On the one hand, the tough military regime is seemingly committing itself to talks with its longtime
antagonist Aung San Suu Kyi and her National League for Democracy (NLD), breaking the deadlock between
the ruling regime and the leading opposition party. On the other hand, the governing State Peace and
Development Council (SPDC) has reportedly increased the number of its troops stationed in areas mainly
occupied by members of ethnic minorities such as the Karen and Karenni people. Military activities
are increasing along with the number of the troops in the region.
But Burma isn't a film in the making. It's a country suffering an unacknowledged civil war, a clandestine
conflict, and a sad reality that can't be hidden away.
Rice Harvest Attack
The increasing numbers of troops in the mainly Karen and Karenni people areas are causing displacement,
deaths, and starvation as the regime forcibly relocates minority villages to areas under tighter control.
For example, on November 6, the SPDC troops (Military Operations Command 1 and Division 88) repeatedly
shelled the rice fields in the Yeh Mu Plaw area in the Northern Karen State.
The Free Burma Rangers, a relief organization, reports that
there are over 1,000 internally displaced persons due to these attacks, which were meant to disrupt
the rice harvest. The two units began attacking out of camps along the Kyauk Kyi-Hsaw Hta road on October
24. At least nine villagers were wounded and two killed in these attacks against villagers trying to
harvest their rice.
The relief organization's report further notes that 64 rice fields were being blocked and controlled
by the SPDC troops. North of the Thay Loh Klo River, a tributary of the Yunzalin River, troops were
firing mortar rounds into the surrounding rice fields to keep villagers away. The Free Burma Rangers
say these attacks are the most recent phase of an offensive, which began last year and has displaced
over 30,000 people and killed over 370 villagers in Northern Karen State.
Sign of Change
None of the activities mentioned are new. But they should dampen any excitement over the developments
in and around Rangoon. For those who anticipate fruitful dialogues and therefore positive developments,
it's imperative to keep looking at what's happening within Burma, not just official and international
talks.
Together with the people of Burma, the international community has grown dismayed about a country
with such great potential and its silently suffering people. Understandably, any move that takes place
in the midst of Burma's long deadlock serves as a sign of progress, or at least a sign of change.
According to a recent telephone interview with
the NLD spokesperson Myint Thein, it looks like Aung San Suu Kyi will soon be released. As widely reported,
she was recently permitted to meet with her party's leaders for the first time in three years. During
the meeting, according to another party spokesperson named U Lwin, Aung San Suu Kyi reported to her
party leaders that she has agreed to cooperate with the ruling junta to explore a possible dialogue
process in consideration of ethnic nationalities, presumably the non-Burmans. So far so good. Aung
San Suu Kyi now believes "the ruling authorities have the will for national reconciliation," as
the Los Angeles Times reported.
She and her party leaders will have to convince the country that this is indeed true.
Positive Steps
Since the crackdown on the peaceful demonstrators, including monks, the Burmese regime has convincingly
demonstrated its commitment for change in the country. First, it welcomed United Nations envoy Ibrahim
Gambari. Not only did Gambari get to meet with General Than Shwe, he also got to meet with Aung San
Suu Kyi and other members of the opposition. He was allowed to make his second visit rather successfully,
even at the disbelief of the United States. A liaison, Aung Kyi, was appointed by the regime to deal
with Aung San Suu Kyi.
Political prisoners, including members of NLD, have been released almost continuously. Paulo Sergio
Pinheiro, the UN's human rights envoy, has been welcomed back to visit Burma. Undoubtedly, the regime
should certainly be encouraged and supported for these developments. Nevertheless, there's another
side of the story which still significantly represents Burma, only in parallel actions.
The Other Side
Any attempt either to ignore the other side of the Burma story or to sway away the world's attention
from the killings, displacements, and miseries suffered by the ethnic minorities beyond description
in the clandestine war zone would be absolutely counterproductive to every effort for national reconciliation
made in Rangoon, Pyinmana, New York, Washington, or London. The current situation in Burma challenges
all parties concerned. There seem to be few prospects for a large portion of the population as they
flee for their lives even as the regime begins to regain trust from its longtime opponent, Nobel laureate
Aung San Suu Kyi.
While the current political activities in and around Rangoon are by all means to be welcome by all
hopeful people of Burma, for real progress to take root, the regime must halt all the military attacks
against its citizens, particularly those in Karen and Karenni areas. Aung San Suu Kyi's NLD also must
acknowledge it's fully aware of the ongoing military activities in the areas of ethnic minorities and
their unspeakable suffering. Perhaps her opposition party can explain to the minorities how it will
take every step possible with the aim to secure a nationwide ceasefire so that a genuine national reconciliation
can also be entertained by the ethnic minorities.
There's no reason to believe that a nationwide ceasefire is impossible. An alliance of ethnic political
parties has issued a statement welcoming
Aung San Suu Kyi's willingness to cooperate with the junta in constructive dialogue. For the groups
waging armed struggle against the Burmese regime, 58 years of armed conflict has not brought about
the desired results. Therefore, it's crucial in their view that dialogue with the military is achieved.
At the same time, these nationalities are well aware that a dialogue by itself will not bring about
change. Many ethnic armies entered into ceasefires with the military starting from 1989 to find a political
solution. To be sure, the ethnic armed groups need an alternate
way to settle their grievances with a political solution instead of armed struggle.
Cautious and Critical
To be cautious and critical over any political move in Burma is a matter of expediency for the ethnic
minorities, a hard-learned lesson from experience, but to support Aung San Suu Kyi and her NLD at this
point in time is irrefutably prudent for everyone, including ethnic minorities, struggling for peace
and peaceful political settlements in Burma.
Of course the international community and the Burmese as well as non-Burmese around the world are
challenged to understand the country's predicament in parallel editing. But it's both prudent and imperative
not to miss the rare chance for genuinely positive change in this war-torn nation.
May Oo is a former Karen refugee from Burma, a graduate of San Francisco State University, and a contributor to Foreign Policy In Focus (www.fpif.org). She is currently a Ph.D student in law and social science at Indiana University School of Law and a fellow at the Center for Constitutional Democracy in Plural Societies.