For Immediate Release
May 1, 2000

For More Information
James H. Nolt 973-313-0803
A. Tom Grunfeld 212-647-7849

From Taiwan to Tibet, U.S. Perceptions of China
Dangeously out of Touch

We know about China: It’s a military superpower. Human rights conditions are deteriorating. China poses a military treat to Taiwan. And Tibet is an ‘occupied country.’

Wrong on all counts, say two new Foreign Policy In Focus reports on China: U.S.-China-Taiwan Military Relations by World Policy Institute Senior Fellow James H. Nolt, and Reassessing Tibet Policy by SUNY/Empire State College history professor A. Tom Grunfeld. According to both scholars, U.S. public discussions of China are dominated by fear, not fact.

For instance, China’s weapons systems are woefully out of date, and that Chinese armed actions and arms sales have declined significantly since the 1980s. China has more countries, frequently hostile countries, on its borders than any other nation, and as a result considers itself vulnerable. "China’s armed forces are the world’s largest, but smaller per capita than those of many countries, including the United States," writes Nolt. "China can defend its territory, but its capacity for external aggression is limited." As a result, "Beijing’s threats against Taiwan are hollow, because China lacks the military capability to inflict damage on Taiwan without suffering immense damage to its own economy and coastal regions."

At the same time, recent American and international efforts to defend Tibetan culture and religion have backfired. Grunfeld argues that Tibet activists and their supporters in Congress ignore the fact that that Tibet’s history has been tied to China’s since the seventh century, and that the U.S. government and the Dalai Lama have "never recognized Tibetan independence."

"During the 1980s," writes Grunfeld, "Chinese Communist Party moderates paved the way for increased use of the Tibetan language, the reconstruction of religious buildings, and the encouragement of Tibetan culture." Although in recent years, there has been "increased repression in Tibet" and "rising animosity toward Chinese rule," U.S. pronouncements have served to strengthen the hand of party hard-liners who want to suppress Tibetan culture. Grunfeld argues that in the country as a whole, there have been "significant gains in personal freedoms for the vast majority of China’s citizens."

Congressional denunciations of China as an oppressor and a major military threat simply re-open old wounds. "Since the Opium War, China has faced countless insults, invasions, and depredations from foreigners, unlike anything in the American experience." Moreover, they fail to acknowledge the improvements China has made. "In the two decades since relations were normalized, China has gradually liberated its economy... (and) demilitarized to a much greater extent than the United States," says Nolt. He concludes, "The U.S. should relate to China with confidence, not with fear."

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Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF) is a joint project of the Institute for Policy Studies and the Interhemispheric Resource Center. FPIF produces briefs analyzing a range of issues including international trade and the global economy, peace and security, and regional and country analysis. Our website houses an archive of all In Focus briefs and Global Perspectives: A Media Guide to Progressive Foreign Policy Experts.